Gridiron ReadsTrack record
How our picks have done this season, and how close the model's projected margins came to the final scores next to the market.
Season record
83 games · Weeks 2 to 8
Our ATS record comes with the season pass.
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The Feelin' Lucky record comes with the season pass.
Official picks from locked weeks, plus the current week's games as they end, which become official when the week locks on Tuesday. ATS counts only games we made a pick on, so No pick and No edge games are left out. Your picks are straight up and count only games you picked. Ties and pushes don't count. Feelin' Lucky counts from Week 7.
How close we were
Every locked week, we compare the model's projected margin with the final score, and do the same for the market's closing line. Lower is better.
2026 model average miss
9.31 pts
Market average miss
9.23 pts
Games graded
83
By week
| Week | Games | Model miss | Market miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16 | 11.83 | 11.78 |
| 3 | 16 | 9.09 | 8.41 |
| 4 | 10 | 6.36 | 8.50 |
| 5 | 8 | 9.05 | 7.13 |
| 6 | 9 | 6.67 | 6.56 |
| 7 | 11 | 9.05 | 9.05 |
| 8 | 13 | 10.96 | 10.96 |
Model releases and their backtests
Each release is tested on past seasons before it is used. Change in average miss against the release it replaced; negative is better.
| Release | Compared with | Train | Validation | Test | Live | Passed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | Yes |
| 1.2 | 1.1 | -0.41 | -0.56 | -0.55 | – | Yes |
Season pass members also see every graded game.